Ticker

I reiterate my buy rating on Telefônica Brasil, seeing 16% upside to a $15.33 fair value. VIV faces minimal threat from Starlink, as customer overlap is limited to remote regions, not VIV's urban strongholds. Sector consolidation, mature infrastructure, and a focus on high-density, high-HDI regions underpin VIV's competitive advantage and margin strength.

Telefonica Brasil NYSE: VIV, operating under the Vivo brand, reported a stronger first quarter of 2026, with management pointing to growth in postpaid mobile, fiber broadband, digital services and disciplined cost control as drivers of higher profitability and cash generation.

1Q26 reinforced the core thesis of VIV, with revenue growing above inflation, EBITDA outpacing revenue, and OpCF margin improving to 26.2%. CapEx intensity continues to decline, supporting better cash conversion even though absolute CapEx remains broadly stable. Telefônica Brasil has already confirmed at least R$7 billion in shareholder distributions for 2026, supporting a well-covered 5%–6% dividend yield.

European stocks are expected to open higher Thursday as investors keep an eye on developments in the U.K. and U.S. President Donald Trump's trip to China.

On May 11, 2026, Telefonica Brasil SA (VIV) shares fell 5.5%, bringing the current price to $14.74. This decline adds to a downward trend seen over the past mon