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AXIA Energia SA (AXIA) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

AXIA Energia remains a Buy as sector headwinds accentuate its competitive advantages and create an attractive entry point. AXIA's uncontracted capacity let it capture elevated energy prices earlier this year, but milder weather and falling spot prices are already fading this catalyst. I've cut my forecast to BRL 6.5 billion EBITDA and BRL 10 billion net income in Q2.

AXIA Energia is now a 100% renewable utility, prioritizing capital allocation to regulated transmission assets over capacity expansion. Disciplined capital management and increased investment in transmission have improved AXIA's cash-flow quality and capital efficiency, supporting a Buy rating. AXIA's operating cash flow rose 56% from 2023 to 2025, while adjusted PMSO declined, yet the stock trades at a 43% discount…