🔥 NFLX LEAPS Profit Update: From $23.50 to $33.70 — A $1,020 Gain Per Contract in 28 Days

Date Published: 

On February 2, 2026, I published a detailed options analysis on NFLX (Netflix Inc.), outlining why the stock presented a high-probability LEAPS setup using our Alpha+ framework.

👉 Read the original analysis here: Netflix (NFLX) Stock Analysis: Deep-Dive Technicals, Fundamentals, Options Flow & an ITM LEAPS Strategy

At that time, I personally entered a LEAPS Call Option:

  • Strike: $80
  • Expiration: June 16, 2028
  • Entry Price: $23.50
  • Delta at Entry: ~0.68
  • DTE at Entry: 863 days

Today, on March 2, 2026, that same LEAPS contract traded at:

  • Exit Price: $33.70

I closed the position.

Let’s break down the numbers.


💰 The Profit Breakdown

Entry Price: $23.50
Exit Price: $33.70
Gain Per Contract: $10.20

Since each options contract controls 100 shares:

$10.20 × 100 = $1,020 PROFIT PER CONTRACT

That equals:

43.4% Return in 28 Days

If a reader followed with:

  • 2 contracts → $2,040 profit
  • 5 contracts → $5,100 profit
  • 10 contracts → $10,200 profit

And remember — this was a long-dated LEAPS with over 800 days remaining.

That is convexity working exactly as designed.


📊 What We Saw on February 2

At the time of entry:

  • RSI was recovering from oversold
  • MACD showed bullish crossover on lower timeframe
  • Price was basing after a prolonged pullback
  • Institutional positioning showed heavy OI clustering

The key was this:

The stock had already priced in pessimism — but the long-term structure remained intact.


🧠 Why the $80 Strike Was Strategic

We selected the $80 strike because:

  • Delta was ~0.68 (strong ITM positioning)
  • OI was substantial (liquidity confirmed)
  • Bid/ask spread was tight
  • Vega exposure was meaningful with long DTE

This wasn’t a lottery ticket.

It was structured leverage.


🚀 What Happened Since Then?

NFLX made a powerful upside move:

  • Breakout above resistance
  • Momentum expansion
  • RSI entering overbought territory
  • MACD strongly positive

This type of momentum spike is exactly where LEAPS ITM calls accelerate in value.

Because of high delta (~0.68+), every $1 move in the stock added roughly $0.68+ to the option.

That’s the power of controlled leverage.


📈 Updated Options Chain

Now we see:

  • $80 strike trading at $33.70
  • Delta higher than entry
  • Strong premium expansion
  • Demand clustering above 80 strike

The contract repriced rapidly as intrinsic value increased and momentum traders piled in.


🎯 Why I Closed the Position

This is critical.

When you get:

  • 40%+ return
  • In under 30 days
  • On a LEAPS contract
  • With RSI > 80
  • MACD extended

That is a tactical profit window.

Could it go higher? Possibly.

But discipline > hope.

Taking structured profits prevents giving gains back during inevitable pullbacks.


📊 Risk-Managed Execution Matters

This was not:

  • Blind buying
  • Chasing green candles
  • Short-dated gamma gambling

It was:

  • ITM LEAPS
  • High delta
  • High OI
  • Long DTE
  • Technical + structure alignment

This is how asymmetric setups are designed.


📌 Key Lessons From This Trade

  1. ITM LEAPS reduce decay stress.
  2. Delta drives fast profit capture.
  3. Long DTE allows flexibility.
  4. Exit discipline compounds capital.
  5. 30–50% gains on LEAPS should be respected.

🔥 Final Result Summary

MetricValue
Entry$23.50
Exit$33.70
Gain Per Contract$1,020
% Return43.4%
Time Held28 Days


⚠️ Disclaimer

I currently hold no position in NFLX. This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk, including the potential loss of 100% of capital invested. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence or consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.

Latest News for NFLX

Netflix stock plunges 9% after earnings: why more downside may be ahead

Netflix stock (NASDAQ: NFLX) plunged nearly 9% in after-hours trading after the streaming company issued a weaker-than-expected third-quarter forecast, reviving doubts about whether slowing growth can support a premium valuation. The company projected revenue of $12.9 billion and diluted earnings of $0.82 per share, below Wall Street estimates of $13 billion and $0.84 per share.

Invezz • Jul 17, 2026
Netflix Pullback Is an Opportunity, Ross Gerber Says

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Bloomberg Markets and Finance • Jul 16, 2026
Netflix: Mr. Market's No-Growth Assumption Is A Buying Opportunity (Q2 Review)

Netflix, Inc.'s Q2 print shows strong underlying fundamentals—solid revenue growth, resilient margins, and disciplined buybacks—despite headline optics that spooked the market. NFLX stock's sharp decline reflects sentiment around disclosure changes, regional deceleration, and content‑spend seasonality, not deterioration in the core business. At $68, the market is effectively pricing NFLX as a no‑growth company;…

Seeking Alpha • Jul 16, 2026

Analyst Price Targets — NFLX

Page 1 • Showing up to 10
DateAnalystFirmTargetPrice @ PostSourceHeadline
July 17, 2026 5:56 amBernstein$95.00$74.35StreetInsider Netflix (NFLX) PT Lowered to $95 at Bernstein SocGen GroupMember Login
July 14, 2026 9:45 amBarclays$85.00$73.83TheFly Netflix price target lowered to $85 from $110 at Barclays
July 14, 2026 9:40 amMorgan Stanley$90.00$73.83StreetInsider Netflix (NFLX) PT Lowered to $90 at Morgan StanleyMember Login
July 13, 2026 11:12 amUBS$100.00$73.37TheFly Netflix price target lowered to $100 from $120 at Oppenheimer
July 13, 2026 9:42 amJustin PattersonKeyBanc$92.00$73.37TheFly Netflix price target lowered to $92 from $115 at KeyBanc
July 8, 2026 9:41 amBernstein$100.00$76.18StreetInsider Netflix (NFLX) PT Lowered to $100 at Bernstein SocGen GroupMember Login
April 17, 2026 2:36 pmSeaport Global$119.00$98.21TheFly Netflix price target raised to $119 from $115 at Seaport Research
April 17, 2026 12:17 pmGuggenheim$120.00$97.73TheFly Netflix price target lowered to $120 from $130 at Guggenheim
April 17, 2026 11:50 amOppenheimer$120.00$107.79TheFly Netflix price target lowered to $120 from $135 at Oppenheimer
April 17, 2026 11:37 amPeter SupinoWolfe Research$107.00$107.79TheFly Netflix price target lowered to $107 from $110 at Wolfe Research

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