🔥 NFLX LEAPS Profit Update: From $23.50 to $33.70 — A $1,020 Gain Per Contract in 28 Days

Date Published: 

On February 2, 2026, I published a detailed options analysis on NFLX (Netflix Inc.), outlining why the stock presented a high-probability LEAPS setup using our Alpha+ framework.

👉 Read the original analysis here: Netflix (NFLX) Stock Analysis: Deep-Dive Technicals, Fundamentals, Options Flow & an ITM LEAPS Strategy

At that time, I personally entered a LEAPS Call Option:

  • Strike: $80
  • Expiration: June 16, 2028
  • Entry Price: $23.50
  • Delta at Entry: ~0.68
  • DTE at Entry: 863 days

Today, on March 2, 2026, that same LEAPS contract traded at:

  • Exit Price: $33.70

I closed the position.

Let’s break down the numbers.


💰 The Profit Breakdown

Entry Price: $23.50
Exit Price: $33.70
Gain Per Contract: $10.20

Since each options contract controls 100 shares:

$10.20 × 100 = $1,020 PROFIT PER CONTRACT

That equals:

43.4% Return in 28 Days

If a reader followed with:

  • 2 contracts → $2,040 profit
  • 5 contracts → $5,100 profit
  • 10 contracts → $10,200 profit

And remember — this was a long-dated LEAPS with over 800 days remaining.

That is convexity working exactly as designed.


📊 What We Saw on February 2

At the time of entry:

  • RSI was recovering from oversold
  • MACD showed bullish crossover on lower timeframe
  • Price was basing after a prolonged pullback
  • Institutional positioning showed heavy OI clustering

The key was this:

The stock had already priced in pessimism — but the long-term structure remained intact.


🧠 Why the $80 Strike Was Strategic

We selected the $80 strike because:

  • Delta was ~0.68 (strong ITM positioning)
  • OI was substantial (liquidity confirmed)
  • Bid/ask spread was tight
  • Vega exposure was meaningful with long DTE

This wasn’t a lottery ticket.

It was structured leverage.


🚀 What Happened Since Then?

NFLX made a powerful upside move:

  • Breakout above resistance
  • Momentum expansion
  • RSI entering overbought territory
  • MACD strongly positive

This type of momentum spike is exactly where LEAPS ITM calls accelerate in value.

Because of high delta (~0.68+), every $1 move in the stock added roughly $0.68+ to the option.

That’s the power of controlled leverage.


📈 Updated Options Chain

Now we see:

  • $80 strike trading at $33.70
  • Delta higher than entry
  • Strong premium expansion
  • Demand clustering above 80 strike

The contract repriced rapidly as intrinsic value increased and momentum traders piled in.


🎯 Why I Closed the Position

This is critical.

When you get:

  • 40%+ return
  • In under 30 days
  • On a LEAPS contract
  • With RSI > 80
  • MACD extended

That is a tactical profit window.

Could it go higher? Possibly.

But discipline > hope.

Taking structured profits prevents giving gains back during inevitable pullbacks.


📊 Risk-Managed Execution Matters

This was not:

  • Blind buying
  • Chasing green candles
  • Short-dated gamma gambling

It was:

  • ITM LEAPS
  • High delta
  • High OI
  • Long DTE
  • Technical + structure alignment

This is how asymmetric setups are designed.


📌 Key Lessons From This Trade

  1. ITM LEAPS reduce decay stress.
  2. Delta drives fast profit capture.
  3. Long DTE allows flexibility.
  4. Exit discipline compounds capital.
  5. 30–50% gains on LEAPS should be respected.

🔥 Final Result Summary

MetricValue
Entry$23.50
Exit$33.70
Gain Per Contract$1,020
% Return43.4%
Time Held28 Days


⚠️ Disclaimer

I currently hold no position in NFLX. This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk, including the potential loss of 100% of capital invested. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence or consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.

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Analyst Price Targets — NFLX

Page 1 • Showing up to 10
DateAnalystFirmTargetPrice @ PostSourceHeadline
January 27, 2026 2:47 pmSaken IsmailovLoop Capital Markets$104.00$84.27StreetInsider Freedom Capital Markets Upgrades Netflix (NFLX) to Buy
January 27, 2026 2:46 pmUBS$104.00$84.40TheFly Freedom Capital upgrades Netflix to Buy on recent selloff
January 22, 2026 2:30 pmArgus Research$110.00$84.10TheFly Netflix price target lowered to $110 from $141 at Argus
January 21, 2026 2:32 pmSusquehanna$112.00$84.55StreetInsider Netflix (NFLX) PT Lowered to $112 at TD Cowen
January 21, 2026 2:09 pmUBS$120.00$83.71TheFly Netflix price target lowered to $120 from $150 at Needham
January 21, 2026 2:02 pmBryan KraftDeutsche Bank$98.00$83.72TheFly Netflix price target raised to $98 from $95 at Deutsche Bank
January 21, 2026 1:49 pmOppenheimer$125.00$84.94TheFly Netflix price target lowered to $125 from $145 at Oppenheimer
January 21, 2026 12:55 pmUBS$130.00$84.15TheFly Netflix price target lowered to $130 from $150 at UBS
January 21, 2026 12:31 pmBrian PitzBMO Capital$135.00$84.79TheFly Netflix price target lowered to $135 from $143 at BMO Capital
January 21, 2026 11:37 amGuggenheim$130.00$87.26TheFly Netflix price target lowered to $130 from $145 at Guggenheim

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