Rebooting Momentum: AMD’s Astonishing AI-Powered Reversal and the LEAPS to Watch in 2025–2027

VIXTradingHub Analysis

📝 VIXTradingHub Analysis


📊 Ticker Highlight: AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)

1. One-Year Oversold — RSI below 30 & Bounce

  • RSI (14-day) dipped slightly under 30 around late May 2025, triggering classic oversold alert. It has since rebounded toward neutral territory (~40), suggesting a reversal directorstalkinterviews.com+9stockinvest.us+9tickertape.in+9.

  • Reasoning: The drop coincided with sector weakness and tech rotation, but bounce suggests accumulation is starting.

2. MACD at Valley & Reversal Signal

  • According to StockInvest, AMD’s 3-month MACD recently issued a bullish crossover from a valley position, indicating upward momentum stockmonitor.com+2stockinvest.us+2indmoney.com+2.

  • Supporting Indicators: The RSI bounce and MACD pivot solidify the setup for a sustained move.

3. Institutional Ownership & Inflows

  • As of Q2 2025, AMD is highly institutional—Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street among top holders directorstalkinterviews.com+6tradingview.com+6tradingview.com+6.

  • In late May through early June, granular 13F filings show:

    • Jane Street added ~216,900 shares on May 19

    • Goldman Sachs added ~1,048,600 shares on May 16

    • Intech, UBS AM, and Parkman Healthcare all increased holdings marketbeat.com+1nasdaq.com+1.

  • Reasoning: Heavy inflows indicate institutional conviction coming back post-dip.

4. Insider Buying

  • No recent high-level insider buys detected for AMD. However, insiders tend to trade under 10b5-1 plans, common in tech.

  • (No material buys; no SEC filings identified for insider purchases.)

5. Analyst Upgrades & Price Targets

6. Near-Term Catalysts

  • 2025 Q2 Earnings expected late July; bullish guidance for revenue and margin likely.

  • Continued data-center CPU/GPU launches (MI300/Zen5 refresh) scheduled mid-to-late 2025.

  • Reasoning: Earnings and new product cycle can re-ignite investor interest.

7. Recession-Resistance & Emerging Tech

  • AMD leverages secular trends in AI, cloud computing, gaming, HPC.

  • Demand for GPUs/CPUs for AI inference remains strong, less sensitive to macro downturns.

  • Reasoning: Diversified high-growth end markets buffer macro pressure.

8. Fundamentals

  • Revenue growth remains high: ~30% YoY. Fundamentals strong
    (e.g., Ryzen/EPYC adoption).

  • Cash flow robust, manageable debt; healthy cash reserves (per Q1 earnings) screener.in+1stockmonitor.com+1.

  • Reasoning: Free cash flow and operating leverage support long-term sustainability.

9. Liquid Options: Skew to Calls

  • Weekly/monthly options show heavy call interest over puts.

  • Major strikes: $130, $135, $140 monthly calls hold thousands of contracts (check live chain).

  • Reasoning: Call-skew indicates bullish trader positioning and leverage demand.

10. Recent Drop & Setup

  • AMD fell ~15% since April peak (over broad tech selloff).

  • Since early June, RSI/MACD bounce + options flow and institutional DCF accumulation signal dust-settled reversal tradingview.com+1tradingview.com+1.

11. LEAPS ITM Call Opportunity

  • High liquidity on 18‑ to 24‑month LEAPS (e.g., Jan 2027 $100–$110 strike).

  • These strikes carry Delta ~0.75–0.85—ideal for leveraged exposure to long-term growth.

  • Reasoning: Efficient exposure with lower theta decay over horizon.

🧩 Thesis Summary

AMD looks attractive technically and fundamentally:

  • Oversold RSI recovered, MACD bullish.

  • Institutional accumulation confirms confidence.

  • Product cycle (AI/data center) supports mid‑term upside.

  • Long-dated call skew reflects positive sentiment.

Anticipate a range of catalysts (earnings, product releases) in July–September 2025 to drive price action.

📈 Trade Strategy

Stock Entry: $120–$125
Targets:
 • Tier 1: $140 (~15% gain) — near-term earnings catalyst
 • Tier 2: $150–$155 (~25–30%) — post-launch/data center adoption
Stop Loss: $110 (below recent swing low) — limits downside if sentiment shifts.

🕒 Jan 2027 LEAPS ITM Call Strategy

  • Select: $100 strike, Jan 2027 expiration, Delta ~0.75.

  • Entry zone: Option premium ~$41 / contract (depending on IV).

  • Profit Tiers:
     • Tier 1: Premium ↗ $60 (+50%) by mid 2026 (post-upgrades)
     • Tier 2: Premium ↗ $80 (+100%) by end 2026 (AI ramp + earnings momentum)

  • Time‑based Stop: Exit by mid 2026 if no 20% move above entry premium achieved.

  • Reasoning: Balances growth leverage (AI/data center cycle) with defined capital at risk and lower theta decay.

⚠️ Capital Allocation Warning & Risk Management Advisory

Do not risk more than 2% of your total capital on this or any single trade.

Both options and biotech equities carry high volatility and inherent risk. While long-term LEAPS trades can provide leverage with limited risk, and stock positions may offer high upside during rebounds, proper capital management is critical:

  • 💡 Position sizing rule: Limit your total exposure on CRSP (stock or LEAPS) to no more than 2% of your portfolio.

  • 🛑 Use defined-risk setups and avoid emotional averaging down.

  • 📉 If CRSP breaks below key technical support or catalysts fail to materialize, have a clear exit strategy in place.

Learn more about stock options in our Stock Options Education Series.

📜 Disclaimer

This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for any investment decisions you make.

💰 5-Year Financial Overview for AMD

Metric20242023202220212020
Revenue25,785,000,00022,680,000,00023,601,000,00016,434,000,0009,763,000,000
Cost of Revenue13,060,000,00012,220,000,00011,550,000,0008,505,000,0005,416,000,000
Gross Profit12,725,000,00010,460,000,00012,051,000,0007,929,000,0004,347,000,000
Operating Expense10,825,000,00010,059,000,00010,830,000,0004,228,000,0003,028,000,000
Operating Income1,900,000,000401,000,0001,264,000,0003,648,000,0001,369,000,000
Net Income1,641,000,000854,000,0001,320,000,0003,162,000,0002,490,000,000
EPS (Diluted)11132
EBITDA5,258,000,0004,149,000,0005,534,000,0004,166,000,0001,676,000,000
EBIT-----
Tax Provision381,000,000-346,000,000-122,000,000513,000,000-1,210,000,000
Interest Income182,000,000206,000,00065,000,0008,000,0008,000,000
Interest Expense92,000,000106,000,00088,000,00034,000,00047,000,000
Total Expenses-----
Basic Shares Outstanding1,620,000,0001,614,000,0001,571,000,0001,229,000,0001,206,515,766
Diluted Shares Outstanding1,637,000,0001,625,000,0001,571,000,0001,229,000,0001,207,000,000

🧠 Analysis & Opinions on AMD

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📊 Technical Analysis Overview

Auto-loaded insights for today’s featured stock

Each Daily Stock Pick comes with a built-in Technical Analysis Widget, giving you a fast, visual snapshot of the current market sentiment—based on real-time data.

🔎 What You’ll See:

  • Overall Signal:
    A summary at the top:
    ✅ Strong Buy, 📈 Buy, ⚖️ Neutral, 📉 Sell, or ❌ Strong Sell

  • Timeframes:
    Switch between views (1min, 15min, 1hr, Daily, Weekly) to match your trading style—short-term or long-term.

  • Breakdown of Indicators:

    • Moving Averages – trend-following tools

    • Oscillators – momentum indicators like RSI & MACD

    • Pivots – support and resistance levels

💡 How to Use It:

This widget helps confirm or challenge your trading bias. Use it together with:

  • Our price targets

  • Options flow & volatility analysis

  • Institutional and insider sentiment

📝 VIXTradingHub Analysis


📊 Ticker Highlight: AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)

1. One-Year Oversold — RSI below 30 & Bounce

  • RSI (14-day) dipped slightly under 30 around late May 2025, triggering classic oversold alert. It has since rebounded toward neutral territory (~40), suggesting a reversal directorstalkinterviews.com+9stockinvest.us+9tickertape.in+9.

  • Reasoning: The drop coincided with sector weakness and tech rotation, but bounce suggests accumulation is starting.

2. MACD at Valley & Reversal Signal

  • According to StockInvest, AMD’s 3-month MACD recently issued a bullish crossover from a valley position, indicating upward momentum stockmonitor.com+2stockinvest.us+2indmoney.com+2.

  • Supporting Indicators: The RSI bounce and MACD pivot solidify the setup for a sustained move.

3. Institutional Ownership & Inflows

  • As of Q2 2025, AMD is highly institutional—Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street among top holders directorstalkinterviews.com+6tradingview.com+6tradingview.com+6.

  • In late May through early June, granular 13F filings show:

    • Jane Street added ~216,900 shares on May 19

    • Goldman Sachs added ~1,048,600 shares on May 16

    • Intech, UBS AM, and Parkman Healthcare all increased holdings marketbeat.com+1nasdaq.com+1.

  • Reasoning: Heavy inflows indicate institutional conviction coming back post-dip.

4. Insider Buying

  • No recent high-level insider buys detected for AMD. However, insiders tend to trade under 10b5-1 plans, common in tech.

  • (No material buys; no SEC filings identified for insider purchases.)

5. Analyst Upgrades & Price Targets

6. Near-Term Catalysts

  • 2025 Q2 Earnings expected late July; bullish guidance for revenue and margin likely.

  • Continued data-center CPU/GPU launches (MI300/Zen5 refresh) scheduled mid-to-late 2025.

  • Reasoning: Earnings and new product cycle can re-ignite investor interest.

7. Recession-Resistance & Emerging Tech

  • AMD leverages secular trends in AI, cloud computing, gaming, HPC.

  • Demand for GPUs/CPUs for AI inference remains strong, less sensitive to macro downturns.

  • Reasoning: Diversified high-growth end markets buffer macro pressure.

8. Fundamentals

  • Revenue growth remains high: ~30% YoY. Fundamentals strong
    (e.g., Ryzen/EPYC adoption).

  • Cash flow robust, manageable debt; healthy cash reserves (per Q1 earnings) screener.in+1stockmonitor.com+1.

  • Reasoning: Free cash flow and operating leverage support long-term sustainability.

9. Liquid Options: Skew to Calls

  • Weekly/monthly options show heavy call interest over puts.

  • Major strikes: $130, $135, $140 monthly calls hold thousands of contracts (check live chain).

  • Reasoning: Call-skew indicates bullish trader positioning and leverage demand.

10. Recent Drop & Setup

  • AMD fell ~15% since April peak (over broad tech selloff).

  • Since early June, RSI/MACD bounce + options flow and institutional DCF accumulation signal dust-settled reversal tradingview.com+1tradingview.com+1.

11. LEAPS ITM Call Opportunity

  • High liquidity on 18‑ to 24‑month LEAPS (e.g., Jan 2027 $100–$110 strike).

  • These strikes carry Delta ~0.75–0.85—ideal for leveraged exposure to long-term growth.

  • Reasoning: Efficient exposure with lower theta decay over horizon.

🧩 Thesis Summary

AMD looks attractive technically and fundamentally:

  • Oversold RSI recovered, MACD bullish.

  • Institutional accumulation confirms confidence.

  • Product cycle (AI/data center) supports mid‑term upside.

  • Long-dated call skew reflects positive sentiment.

Anticipate a range of catalysts (earnings, product releases) in July–September 2025 to drive price action.

📈 Trade Strategy

Stock Entry: $120–$125
Targets:
 • Tier 1: $140 (~15% gain) — near-term earnings catalyst
 • Tier 2: $150–$155 (~25–30%) — post-launch/data center adoption
Stop Loss: $110 (below recent swing low) — limits downside if sentiment shifts.

🕒 Jan 2027 LEAPS ITM Call Strategy

  • Select: $100 strike, Jan 2027 expiration, Delta ~0.75.

  • Entry zone: Option premium ~$41 / contract (depending on IV).

  • Profit Tiers:
     • Tier 1: Premium ↗ $60 (+50%) by mid 2026 (post-upgrades)
     • Tier 2: Premium ↗ $80 (+100%) by end 2026 (AI ramp + earnings momentum)

  • Time‑based Stop: Exit by mid 2026 if no 20% move above entry premium achieved.

  • Reasoning: Balances growth leverage (AI/data center cycle) with defined capital at risk and lower theta decay.

⚠️ Capital Allocation Warning & Risk Management Advisory

Do not risk more than 2% of your total capital on this or any single trade.

Both options and biotech equities carry high volatility and inherent risk. While long-term LEAPS trades can provide leverage with limited risk, and stock positions may offer high upside during rebounds, proper capital management is critical:

  • 💡 Position sizing rule: Limit your total exposure on CRSP (stock or LEAPS) to no more than 2% of your portfolio.

  • 🛑 Use defined-risk setups and avoid emotional averaging down.

  • 📉 If CRSP breaks below key technical support or catalysts fail to materialize, have a clear exit strategy in place.

Learn more about stock options in our Stock Options Education Series.

📜 Disclaimer

This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for any investment decisions you make.

💰 5-Year Financial Overview for AMD

Metric20242023202220212020
Revenue25,785,000,00022,680,000,00023,601,000,00016,434,000,0009,763,000,000
Cost of Revenue13,060,000,00012,220,000,00011,550,000,0008,505,000,0005,416,000,000
Gross Profit12,725,000,00010,460,000,00012,051,000,0007,929,000,0004,347,000,000
Operating Expense10,825,000,00010,059,000,00010,830,000,0004,228,000,0003,028,000,000
Operating Income1,900,000,000401,000,0001,264,000,0003,648,000,0001,369,000,000
Net Income1,641,000,000854,000,0001,320,000,0003,162,000,0002,490,000,000
EPS (Diluted)11132
EBITDA5,258,000,0004,149,000,0005,534,000,0004,166,000,0001,676,000,000
EBIT-----
Tax Provision381,000,000-346,000,000-122,000,000513,000,000-1,210,000,000
Interest Income182,000,000206,000,00065,000,0008,000,0008,000,000
Interest Expense92,000,000106,000,00088,000,00034,000,00047,000,000
Total Expenses-----
Basic Shares Outstanding1,620,000,0001,614,000,0001,571,000,0001,229,000,0001,206,515,766
Diluted Shares Outstanding1,637,000,0001,625,000,0001,571,000,0001,229,000,0001,207,000,000

🧠 Analysis & Opinions on AMD

💰 5-Year Financial Overview for AMD

Metric20242023202220212020
Revenue25,785,000,00022,680,000,00023,601,000,00016,434,000,0009,763,000,000
Cost of Revenue13,060,000,00012,220,000,00011,550,000,0008,505,000,0005,416,000,000
Gross Profit12,725,000,00010,460,000,00012,051,000,0007,929,000,0004,347,000,000
Operating Expense10,825,000,00010,059,000,00010,830,000,0004,228,000,0003,028,000,000
Operating Income1,900,000,000401,000,0001,264,000,0003,648,000,0001,369,000,000
Net Income1,641,000,000854,000,0001,320,000,0003,162,000,0002,490,000,000
EPS (Diluted)11132
EBITDA5,258,000,0004,149,000,0005,534,000,0004,166,000,0001,676,000,000
EBIT-----
Tax Provision381,000,000-346,000,000-122,000,000513,000,000-1,210,000,000
Interest Income182,000,000206,000,00065,000,0008,000,0008,000,000
Interest Expense92,000,000106,000,00088,000,00034,000,00047,000,000
Total Expenses-----
Basic Shares Outstanding1,620,000,0001,614,000,0001,571,000,0001,229,000,0001,206,515,766
Diluted Shares Outstanding1,637,000,0001,625,000,0001,571,000,0001,229,000,0001,207,000,000

🧠 Analysis & Opinions on AMD

📊 Technical Analysis Overview

Auto-loaded insights for today’s featured stock

Each Daily Stock Pick comes with a built-in Technical Analysis Widget, giving you a fast, visual snapshot of the current market sentiment—based on real-time data.

🔎 What You’ll See:

  • Overall Signal:
    A summary at the top:
    ✅ Strong Buy, 📈 Buy, ⚖️ Neutral, 📉 Sell, or ❌ Strong Sell

  • Timeframes:
    Switch between views (1min, 15min, 1hr, Daily, Weekly) to match your trading style—short-term or long-term.

  • Breakdown of Indicators:

    • Moving Averages – trend-following tools

    • Oscillators – momentum indicators like RSI & MACD

    • Pivots – support and resistance levels

💡 How to Use It:

This widget helps confirm or challenge your trading bias. Use it together with:

  • Our price targets

  • Options flow & volatility analysis

  • Institutional and insider sentiment

Options Chain

Select an expiration date to expand for table with strikes, greeks, and mark.

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